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epiforecasts/BVDOutbreakSize

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Joint Bayesian generative Turing model for the 2026 DRC BVD outbreak. Combines exports, deaths and reported suspected cases (with ascertainment) in a single posterior. Replaces Imperial's two-method sweep, small-rw exports approximation and closed-form deaths with priors and exact integrals. Includes a no-onward-transmission deaths lower bound.

active 2026-05-19 → 2026-10-22 (UTC)

Complete coverage27,948 / 27,948 hourly files (100%) · 2 absent upstream2023-08-15 → 2026-10-22 (UTC)
Events
1.3K
Pushes
730
Pull requests
53
Issues
28
Stars
1
Forks
0

Activity over time

Daily event counts in the loaded window

Line chart, 157 days from 2026-05-19 to 2026-10-22. Pushes: 730 total, peak 44 in a day. Pull requests: 53 total, peak 8 in a day. Issues: 28 total, peak 4 in a day. Comments: 131 total, peak 13 in a day. Stars: 1 total, peak 1 in a day.

  • Pushes
  • Pull requests
  • Issues
  • Comments
  • Stars

Stars, PRs, issues and forks are under-captured in the later part of this window. GH Archive progressively stopped capturing non-push events during 2026 — −95% or worse by the end of the window. Every series here except Pushes fades for that reason, so a decline above reflects the archive, not this repository. Pushes stay reliable throughout, so read them, and the contributor counts derived from them, as the real signal. Data health has the measurements.

Top contributors

Pushes, PRs, issues, reviews and comments — stars and forks excluded, so this is contribution rather than popularity

ContributorContributionsPushesPRsComments
seabbs-bot4293373833
github-actions[bot]260234026
seabbs192139513
seabbs-review-bot[bot]510640
codecov[bot]170017
sbfnk161500
dependabot[bot]6321
sbfnk-bot3200
sdwfrost2020
kathsherratt1001

Recent activity

Latest issues, pull requests and releases

Totals cover only the window loaded into ClickHouse and count events, not GitHub's lifetime totals — 1 stars here means stars gained during the window, not the repo's star count.